1999issue C121-3
Constructing mechanical gap-fade entry and exit rules
A mechanical gap procedure can be written as one worksheet: the gap measurement, the percent cutoffs, the side choice, the bar-count exits, the fill clock, and a flat-book gate. Those locks keep a fade encoding from being treated as a follow encoding.
- Lock the close-to-close-gap first: one hundred times the change from the prior close to the current close, divided by the prior close.
- A gap-fade-long can fire at a minus-three close-to-close-gap, and a gap-fade-short can fire at a plus-three close-to-close-gap.
- Matching bar-count-exit rules can hold the long for one bar and the short for two bars, with a close fill, zero delay, and a flat-book-gate on new entries.
- Side choice is a separate construction decision, and an open-to-prior-close-gap variant uses a one-percent threshold with a one-bar hold on both sides.
A gap trade is a worksheet
The historical workflow encodes a gap trade as one mechanical procedure. The parts that have to be written down together are the gap measurement, the percent cutoffs, the side choice, the bar-count-exit, the fill-convention, and the flat-book-gate.
Editorial reading: keep those parts on one worksheet so a fade encoding cannot be tested as if it were a gap-follow-encoding. The archive facts describe the historical workflow. They do not rank the encodings.
Lock the gap measurement
A mechanical gap procedure can define the close-to-close-gap as one hundred times the change from the prior close to the current close, divided by the prior close. Later cutoffs read that single number.
A construction variant can measure the open-to-prior-close-gap instead: the percent change from the prior close to the current open. Editorial reading: once the rest of the worksheet is locked, those two measurements are different procedures.
Lock the side and the percent cutoffs
A long-entry rule can fire when the close-to-close-gap reaches a minus-three threshold. That rule is a gap-fade-long, a long entry taken after a sufficiently large negative gap.
A short-entry rule can fire when the close-to-close-gap reaches a plus-three threshold. That rule is a gap-fade-short, a short entry taken after a sufficiently large positive gap.
Side choice remains a separate construction decision. One encoding buys a large down gap and shorts a large up gap. Another encoding, a gap-follow-encoding, buys a large up gap and shorts a large down gap.
Lock the exits, the fill clock, and the gate
The matching exits can be a one-bar hold after the long entry and a two-bar hold after the short entry. Each matching exit is a bar-count-exit, which closes the trade after a fixed number of bars rather than a price target.
The same procedure can specify that both the entry and the exit fill at the close with zero delay. That fill-convention keeps the entry and exit clocks aligned with the rules.
A new long or short gap entry can be allowed only when the book is already flat. The flat-book-gate blocks a new gap entry while a position is already open.
Record the open-based variant separately
A construction variant can measure the gap from the prior close to the current open instead of close to close. That open-based variant can use a one-percent threshold and a one-bar hold on both the long and the short side.
Editorial reading: changing the measurement, the cutoff, and the hold together writes a new worksheet. It does not revise the close-to-close fade in place.
All readings on this track · 20 readings
- 1988Constructing short-horizon gap and trailing-stop rules
- 1996Constructing closed rules for spikes, time stops and gap failures
- 1999Opening-gap same-day fade rules
- 1999Evaluating same-session opening-gap rules
- 1999Constructing mechanical gap-fade entry and exit rules
- 2000Constructing opening-gap continuation entry and exit rules
- 2000Gap types as trade hypotheses
- 2003One-day fade-the-gap rules remain unfinished across market climates
- 2003Gap and pivot entry rules with stops written before the fill
- 2007Evaluating gap and lap opens against short-horizon baselines
- 2007Evaluating same-day gap rules across price, momentum, and weekday
- 2011Session gaps as a fade-or-follow drill
- 2015Testing gap continuation breakouts as one procedure
- 2015Downside exhaustion gaps as a ten-session fade procedure
- 2016Constructing a gap-fill long as one entry and exit checklist
- 2016Gap-reversal entry and trailing-stop rules
- 2016Constructing late entries from serial uptrend gaps
- 2017Premarket gap permission with cup breakouts and one tight trail
- 2018Inside-range gap breakout entry and stop rules
- 2020Closing-range breakout after a downside gap