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Pricing
macroAug 12, 2026, 2:49 PM

September FOMC Still a Coin Flip Before Early-Month Jobs and CPI Data

Markets see the September FOMC decision as roughly 50/50, with the outcome likely depending on jobs and CPI reports due September 4 and September 11.

European energy and political risks are being treated as a slow-burning structural issue rather than an immediate trading catalyst. Some market participants are already asking whether 2027 is the more relevant horizon to assess.

On the data side, the latest CPI release is described as offering nothing new for markets to chew on. With that out of the way, the final stretch of summer looks light on scheduled catalysts.

For the September FOMC meeting, market pricing remains close to a coin flip. The outcome is expected to come down to the jobs report and CPI figures due on September 4 and September 11, making those the next key events for rate expectations.

Source: FXStreet Forex News