2018issue C0616-25
Moving-average breakout with delayed scale-in
A documented breakout sequence uses a 200-period simple moving average as both the entry reference and the first-fill stop anchor. Size increases only after price travels a stated increment beyond that first fill, with a longer wait for inverse products.
- A $2 buffer above the 200-period simple moving average treats shallow crosses as false breakouts rather than entries.
- The initial stop is placed at that same average, offset $2 below the entry.
- After the first fill, size is added only if price continues a stated increment beyond that entry, $4 above the first entry for inverse products instead of $2.
- An immediate print just beyond obvious resistance is treated as a supply location, so the procedure waits for a later continuation-pattern.
A breakout as one procedure
The documented sequence is a breakout-system. It treats a move through a stated reference as an entry only after a buffer, a stop, and a continuation check are also specified.
The moving-average in this case is a 200-period simple average of ordered prices. It is used as both the breakout reference and the first-fill stop anchor.
The buffer and the first stop
A false-breakout-buffer of $2 above the 200-period average is specified so shallow crosses are treated as false breakouts rather than entries.
The documented breakout sequence places the initial stop at the 200-period simple moving average, offset $2 below the entry.
When a second fill is allowed
The scale-in-position rule adds size only after price travels a stated increment beyond the first entry. The procedure does not add at the first fill.
For inverse exchange-traded products the stated add-on increment is $4 above the first entry instead of $2. An inverse-product is assigned a modified breakout-entry sequence because it is described as more volatile than a standard breakout vehicle.
The procedure waits longer before scaling into leveraged inverse products than into ordinary shares or standard funds, citing higher volatility.
A worked example records a first entry at 46.20 and a second-fill trigger if price breaks above 50.20.
A later continuation check
An immediate print just beyond an obvious resistance level is treated as a location where opposing supply is expected. The procedure waits for a later continuation-pattern.
That later price structure is required before the procedure stays with or adds to the position.
All readings on this track · 18 readings
- 1989Measured range, scale-in ladders, and spread replay as a cash-reserve design
- 1990When result pressure rewrites checklist and scale-in rules
- 1992Split-sample floors, ceilings, and standing aside
- 2006A swing operator's scale-in, structure, and cash-floor procedure
- 2011Scale in currency risk with tenth-size futures
- 2012Nested cycle scale-in with rewritten stops
- 2013Volume-confirmed swing breaks with scale-in and trailing stops
- 2014When volume thrusts still require a session procedure
- 2015Fusion entry and scale-in after broken levels
- 2015Volatility and volume gates for breakout entries
- 2015Scale-in and prior-range breakout management
- 2017A pair as a two-clock book
- 2017Pair-spread risk as a unit-by-unit capital sequence
- 2018Moving-average breakout with delayed scale-in
- 2018Steepening price-channel breakout with delayed confirmation and planned adds
- 2018A scale-in needs a gate or it is leverage
- 2020Two-stage longs: golden-cross starter, then cup-breakout add
- 2020Close-gated scale-in for swing breakouts