2004issue C021-3
Constructing stops from candle control levels
A percentage-stop tied to the fill can sit at a price with no relation to trend negation. This archive workflow builds the stop-loss from who still controls the signal bar, using candlestick-patterns and the body-midpoint as the control test.
- A percentage-stop moves with the fill, so the exit can sit at a price that has no relation to trend negation.
- Stop construction locates the trend-negation-level from candlestick-patterns, including whether sellers still control after a long entry.
- After a candlestick-engulfing, residual-selling is not enough to cancel the signal. The failure case is several sessions with no follow-through, then a close beyond the body-midpoint.
- If the first entry fails while the original oversold context is unchanged, stand aside and watch for a later buy signal rather than abandon the condition set.
Build the stop from the signal, not the fill
A stop-loss is a precommitted price or close that ends the position once the entry hypothesis is no longer valid. Editorial reading: that line should be built from the same candlestick-patterns that licensed the entry, so the exit tests the hypothesis rather than the fill.
When the exit follows the fill
A percentage-stop is an exit set a fixed fraction below or above the fill. If the execution price differs from the intended entry, that stop moves with the fill. The exit can then sit at a level that has no relation to trend negation.
Illustrative advisor stops of 3% or 8% do not adjust for the fact that a 3% pullback can reverse one name while a 10% move can be ordinary noise in another.
Who still controls the signal bar
Stop construction is framed as locating the trend-negation-level, the price that would show the established trend has been negated. After a long entry, that includes whether sellers still control the signal bar.
After volatility and the conditions that created the buy are considered, one name may need a nearby stop while another needs more room. Candlestick-patterns are used to mark whether sellers remain in control.
A buy signal that appears while the broader market is falling is described as needing closer subsequent watching than the same signal in a rising market.
Invalidation on the large white body
In the long example, the low of the large white body is treated as a logical invalidation. A break through that level would mean the advance is no longer in force.
A later bearish candlestick-engulfing, even while stochastics are still rising, is not treated as sufficient proof that the uptrend has ended. Editorial reading: a later reversal print is not, by itself, the trend-negation-level. The stop stays on the control level of the hypothesis that licensed the entry.
A two-way test at the body-midpoint
A candlestick-engulfing is a reversal candle whose body fully covers the prior body. That same candle later supplies a body low, high, or body-midpoint for stop construction.
After a bullish candlestick-engulfing in an oversold area, a lower close can be residual-selling. Residual-selling can appear right after a bullish reversal without, by itself, canceling the signal. The failure case is several sessions with no extensive buying, then a close beyond the body-midpoint of that engulfing body.
The body-midpoint is presented as a two-way control test after both bullish and bearish reversal candles.
If the first entry fails while the original oversold context is unchanged, the construction rule is to stand aside and watch for a later buy signal rather than abandon the condition set.
All readings on this track · 16 readings
- 1991Candlestick stops from confirmation and engulfing
- 1994Stacked candlestick confirmation on Malaysian indexes, 1994
- 2001Two-bar candlestick reversal as a timed construction
- 2002Engulfing reversal needs trend and a trailing stop
- 2003Engulfing geometry needs a swing slope referee
- 2004Constructing stops from candle control levels
- 2007Abstention completes the engulfing system
- 2007Constructing the belthold candlestick signal
- 2008Evaluating engulfing reversals with opposite-exit tests
- 2010Candle names as a filter, not a catalog
- 2012Critiquing engulfing and volume patterns as crowd psychology
- 2012Candlestick construction of bullish engulfing and a paper-trading rehearsal
- 2015Reading engulfing candles in context
- 2018Treat a bullish engulfing as unfinished work
- 2019Evaluating bullish engulfing with context filters
- 2020Eight-bar pause reclaim entry and a stop-target grid