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macroJul 2, 2026, 3:36 PM

US Beef Prices Hit Record Highs as Cattle Herd Shrinks

US beef prices remain near record highs with ground beef up 13% YoY and steak up 16% YoY, driven by the smallest cattle herd in decades. Consumer demand stays strong, with Fourth of July beef sales rising by $352 million from last year.

US beef prices are hovering near all-time highs as the nation's cattle herd contracts to its smallest size in decades. Ground beef prices have risen 13% year-over-year, while steak prices are up 16% over the same period, according to recent data.

Despite the sharp price increases, consumer demand remains resilient. Fourth of July beef sales increased by approximately $352 million compared to a year ago, as reported by NielsenIQ. The combination of shrinking supply and sustained demand continues to support elevated beef prices.

Analysts attribute the price surge to the long-term reduction in cattle numbers, which has tightened supply across the beef supply chain. No immediate relief is expected as herd rebuilding typically takes years.

Source: First Squawk