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fxJun 22, 2026, 6:45 AM

Russian Central Bank Cuts Rate by 25 bps, Signals Hawkish Stance: Commerzbank

Commerzbank notes the Russian Central Bank surprised markets by cutting its key rate by only 25 basis points to 14.25%, against expectations of a 50 bps cut, indicating a hawkish policy stance and limited direct impact on the ruble.

USDRUB

Commerzbank analyst Michael Pfister commented on the Russian Central Bank's latest decision, which delivered a smaller-than-expected rate cut. The bank reduced its key rate by 25 basis points to 14.25%, while the market had anticipated a 50 bps reduction.

The move was interpreted as hawkish, reflecting caution about further easing. However, Pfister suggests the direct impact on the foreign exchange market remains limited, as other factors continue to drive ruble dynamics.

  • Rate cut: 25 bps to 14.25% (vs. 50 bps expected)
  • Stance: Hawkish, signaling caution on further cuts
  • FX impact: Limited according to Commerzbank

Source: FXStreet Forex News