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fxAug 19, 2026, 9:40 AM

Brazil Real Seen Facing Election Risks Before Renewed Gains

Commerzbank analysts see near-term election risks for Brazil's real, followed by renewed gains as hawkish central bank policy and high real rates support the currency.

USDBRL

Commerzbank FX analysts Norman Liebke and Michael Pfister expect Brazil's real to face election-related risks in the near term before moving back to gains.

Their supportive view is tied to the Brazilian Central Bank's hawkish stance and still-elevated real interest rates, which they see as a buffer for the currency.

Key points:

  • Near term: election risks dominate
  • After that: renewed BRL gains
  • Support: BCB hawkish policy, elevated real rates

Source: FXStreet Forex News