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1998issue C011-8

Writing entry, target, and trail as one procedure

A pullback entry, a measured-move objective, and a tightening trail can be written as one procedure so a chart hypothesis is taken, skipped, or stopped without changing the plan after the trade is on.

  • A directional entry can require a short-interval trend filter and an execution constraint, so a position is taken only with the prevailing move and only at a constrained price.
  • A pullback is treated as a qualified setup only when at least three of four listed conditions appear, after which a long trigger can be a one-third recovery of that decline.
  • A measured-move objective can be built by adding the last impulse height to the pullback extreme when that pullback is a 38-to-62 percent retracement.
  • After price is ahead by one times original risk, the stop can be raised to breakeven, then advanced under a stated trail so remaining exposure stays bounded.
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Write the sequence before the trade

Editorial reading: a pullback, a measured-move objective, and a tightening trail belong in one written procedure, so the chart hypothesis can be taken, skipped, or stopped without rewriting the plan after entry.

A rule-based entry is a written sequence that turns market state and execution constraints into a buy, sell, or stand-aside decision. A measured move is a price-structure projection that estimates how far a swing or pattern may travel after a breakout or retracement. A trailing stop is a stop that is advanced with favorable price so remaining risk stays bounded after the trade is on.

Trend filter and constrained entry

A directional entry can require both a short-interval trend filter and an execution constraint, so positions are taken only with the prevailing move and only at a constrained price.

A dual moving-average crossover can define trend direction, while a channel from averages of highs and lows can require consecutive closes beyond the channel before a position is started or added.

After a strong impulse and a congestion pattern, an oscillator turn from below a midpoint can authorize a buy stop at that day's high so entry anticipates the breakout instead of waiting for it.

A qualified pullback and its trigger

A pullback can be treated as a qualified setup only when at least three of four conditions appear: price into a high-low average channel, a momentum line crossing its signal, an oscillator drop from above 70 to below 50 or by at least 30 points, and a 38-to-62 percent retracement of the prior impulse.

Once a pullback qualifies, a long trigger can be a one-third recovery of that decline, or the lower of that one-third level and a return to the prior day's high if the oscillator was already rising at the previous close.

Initial risk can be bounded by a stop at the extreme of the countertrend swing, provided that distance is at least one average true range.

The measured-move objective

A measured-move objective can be built by locating a prior pivot that makes the pullback a 38-to-62 percent retracement of the last impulse, then adding that impulse height to the pullback extreme.

The same projection logic applies to reversal and continuation patterns: height from head to neckline, or from triangle extremes, is applied from the neckline or breakout.

Breakeven, then a tightening trail

After price is ahead by one times original risk, often one average daily range, the stop can be raised to breakeven. If the measured-move objective is reached during the session, the stop can be moved to that session's low.

Remaining exposure can be reduced by trailing under a trendline, a pivot, an exponential average, more than one average true range below the best price since entry, a level that keeps a stated share of open profit, or the height of the latest corrective wave plus one tick.

Editorial reading: those trail choices are alternate ways to keep remaining exposure bounded, and they belong in the same written procedure as the entry and the objective.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
5 of 12 in the Measured move track
20051-8 pp.Next on Measured moveConstructing flag and pennant measured movesFlags and pennants are treated as continuation constructions, so the pause is expected to resolve in the same direction as the preceding steep move and the trade hypothesis is directional before the breakout prints.
All readings on this track · 12 readings
  1. 1990Constructing volume-budget targets after a breakout
  2. 1991Constructing price objectives from measured moves and swings
  3. 1997Measuring chart pattern height for breakout targets
  4. 1998Double-top confirmation before the measured move
  5. 1998Writing entry, target, and trail as one procedure
  6. 2005Constructing flag and pennant measured moves
  7. 2006The swing rule as a measured move beyond a broken barrier
  8. 2011Prove the X7 turn before measuring the reversal
  9. 2014Constructing an intraday flag breakout as one procedure
  10. 2017Price mirrors as a fold-test for reversal targets
  11. 2017First swing box as a measured-move exit ruler
  12. 2020The recovered swing high as a halfway-reaction checkpoint
All 14 readings tagged Measured move
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