1998issue C011-8
Writing entry, target, and trail as one procedure
A pullback entry, a measured-move objective, and a tightening trail can be written as one procedure so a chart hypothesis is taken, skipped, or stopped without changing the plan after the trade is on.
- A directional entry can require a short-interval trend filter and an execution constraint, so a position is taken only with the prevailing move and only at a constrained price.
- A pullback is treated as a qualified setup only when at least three of four listed conditions appear, after which a long trigger can be a one-third recovery of that decline.
- A measured-move objective can be built by adding the last impulse height to the pullback extreme when that pullback is a 38-to-62 percent retracement.
- After price is ahead by one times original risk, the stop can be raised to breakeven, then advanced under a stated trail so remaining exposure stays bounded.
Write the sequence before the trade
Editorial reading: a pullback, a measured-move objective, and a tightening trail belong in one written procedure, so the chart hypothesis can be taken, skipped, or stopped without rewriting the plan after entry.
A rule-based entry is a written sequence that turns market state and execution constraints into a buy, sell, or stand-aside decision. A measured move is a price-structure projection that estimates how far a swing or pattern may travel after a breakout or retracement. A trailing stop is a stop that is advanced with favorable price so remaining risk stays bounded after the trade is on.
Trend filter and constrained entry
A directional entry can require both a short-interval trend filter and an execution constraint, so positions are taken only with the prevailing move and only at a constrained price.
A dual moving-average crossover can define trend direction, while a channel from averages of highs and lows can require consecutive closes beyond the channel before a position is started or added.
After a strong impulse and a congestion pattern, an oscillator turn from below a midpoint can authorize a buy stop at that day's high so entry anticipates the breakout instead of waiting for it.
A qualified pullback and its trigger
A pullback can be treated as a qualified setup only when at least three of four conditions appear: price into a high-low average channel, a momentum line crossing its signal, an oscillator drop from above 70 to below 50 or by at least 30 points, and a 38-to-62 percent retracement of the prior impulse.
Once a pullback qualifies, a long trigger can be a one-third recovery of that decline, or the lower of that one-third level and a return to the prior day's high if the oscillator was already rising at the previous close.
Initial risk can be bounded by a stop at the extreme of the countertrend swing, provided that distance is at least one average true range.
The measured-move objective
A measured-move objective can be built by locating a prior pivot that makes the pullback a 38-to-62 percent retracement of the last impulse, then adding that impulse height to the pullback extreme.
The same projection logic applies to reversal and continuation patterns: height from head to neckline, or from triangle extremes, is applied from the neckline or breakout.
Breakeven, then a tightening trail
After price is ahead by one times original risk, often one average daily range, the stop can be raised to breakeven. If the measured-move objective is reached during the session, the stop can be moved to that session's low.
Remaining exposure can be reduced by trailing under a trendline, a pivot, an exponential average, more than one average true range below the best price since entry, a level that keeps a stated share of open profit, or the height of the latest corrective wave plus one tick.
Editorial reading: those trail choices are alternate ways to keep remaining exposure bounded, and they belong in the same written procedure as the entry and the objective.
All readings on this track · 12 readings
- 1990Constructing volume-budget targets after a breakout
- 1991Constructing price objectives from measured moves and swings
- 1997Measuring chart pattern height for breakout targets
- 1998Double-top confirmation before the measured move
- 1998Writing entry, target, and trail as one procedure
- 2005Constructing flag and pennant measured moves
- 2006The swing rule as a measured move beyond a broken barrier
- 2011Prove the X7 turn before measuring the reversal
- 2014Constructing an intraday flag breakout as one procedure
- 2017Price mirrors as a fold-test for reversal targets
- 2017First swing box as a measured-move exit ruler
- 2020The recovered swing high as a halfway-reaction checkpoint