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2014issue C1136-40

Test entry, exit and abstention as one procedure

House methods are learned first, then rehearsed for a long period on a simulator before real money. Recipe trades wait for every listed condition, and a stop both caps the loss and refuses a late entry.

  • Training is two jobs: first learn the house methods and techniques, then remain on a simulator for a long period before using real money.
  • Recipe-style entries need five or six conditions to align; taking a trade when any listed rule is missing is treated as a discipline failure.
  • A simulator that fills only because a desired price is touched is judged an unrealistic rehearsal.
  • A stop is required on every cash-market trade discussed, and a position left open without one is treated as unbounded risk.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Two jobs before real money

The archive sequences training as two jobs. The first job is to learn the house methods and techniques. The second is to remain on a simulator for a long period before using real money.

Regardless of market choice or prior experience, practice still starts on a simulator so the techniques can be learned without risking money. Early cash losses are said to produce frustration that stops learning.

The practiced habit is a repeatable checklist of entry, management, abstention and rehearsal, kept until those pieces fire as one procedure instead of as improvisation under stress.

A simulator is only a rehearsal if fills are realistic

A simulator is treated as adequate only if fills are realistic. A fill that occurs merely because a desired price is touched is judged an unrealistic rehearsal.

Extended simulator rehearsal is meant to model fills and news conditions realistically enough that the same rules can later be executed with money.

Every listed rule has to fire

Recipe-style techniques require five or six entry conditions to align. If any one is missing, the trade is not taken.

Taking a trade after only some checklist items fire is treated as a discipline failure. The standard is that every listed rule must be satisfied.

A widespread execution failure is holding losers and exiting winners.

The stop bounds the loss and the entry

Stop-losses are required on every cash-market trade discussed. In the S&P emini the usual bound is no more than two points, or 100 dollars, per contract.

The stop is a pre-placed point-based bound that also caps the acceptable entry, so loss size is decided before the order is sent and remains attached for the life of the position.

The stop is used as an entry map. If planned risk is two points and the stop sits at 1505, a buy above 1507 is refused.

An open position without a stop is treated as unbounded risk because a policy surprise can invalidate a familiar chart, and a single flush can erase the account.

Practice can last a year

Simulator work can last as long as a year when the trader cannot yet apply the recipes or the required mindset. Practice includes watching news in a realistic fill environment.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
15 of 24 in the Paper trading simulation track
201526-31 pp.Next on Paper trading simulationPaper-trade the system you refuse to complicateExtra time, energy, and money spent on analysis eventually stop raising the share of winning trades.
All readings on this track · 24 readings
  1. 1988Process goals, journals, and pre-trade stress checks
  2. 1989A written plan before impulse takes command
  3. 1991Step-through construction of a currency range tactic
  4. 1999Relocating expiration break-even with a bull debit spread
  5. 2003Rebuild testable trading rules after a drawdown
  6. 2005Forex stops, lot count, and reward as one budget
  7. 2010Predefined rules before discretion in a mechanical trading system
  8. 2010Evaluating euro-gold intraday lead-lag rules
  9. 2011How to turn an FDA-calendar sample into a testable bio-runup procedure
  10. 2012First-hour countertrend entries after broken levels
  11. 2012Time-box simulation before live decision pressure
  12. 2013Adding markets without liquidity and emotion rules
  13. 2013Precommit the exits on leveraged trades
  14. 2013Check the currency cross, the margin, then the demo fill
  15. 2014Test entry, exit and abstention as one procedure
  16. 2015Paper-trade the system you refuse to complicate
  17. 2015Four-step system vetting before live trading
  18. 2015Price and volume rules over pattern shortcuts
  19. 2017Closing a Friday news fade into one entry and exit procedure
  20. 2019Hype-resistant trading process: paper checks and ruin risk
  21. 2020Paper trading cannot validate a live decision process
  22. 2020Tenth-size futures as a small-account ruin filter
  23. 2020Evaluating systems with paper trading and walk-forward windows
  24. 2020Sizing protective puts with micro index options
All 34 readings tagged Paper trading simulation
Also on Paper trading simulation5 readings