2012issue C1029-32
Monthly calendar income under a volatility-regime process
This case study reconstructs a monthly option-income workflow built on calendar spreads. Size, strike count, and tenor followed the volatility outlook, a short moving average set only the opening delta lean, and a precommitted price-and-loss grid handled rolls.
- A calendar spread sells a nearer-month option and buys a farther-month option so the short contract can lose value faster than the long contract.
- Regime-based sizing kept a monthly market presence while changing size, strike count, and tenor with the volatility outlook.
- Fills, rolls, and a 20 percent loss close were precommitted, so adjustments followed a grid rather than a rewrite.
- A short moving average leaned starting delta only. It did not decide whether the monthly calendar book stayed open.
A calendar book that stayed in the market each month
A calendar spread is constructed by selling a nearer-month option and buying a farther-month option, with the short contract designed to lose value faster than the long contract.
The case-study trader typically opened calendar positions 40 to 45 days before the short options expired and remained in the market each month.
Regime-based sizing and tenor
When volatility was expected to stay low or rise slowly, the book used larger size and more strikes, including a triple calendar with one strike at the money and companions five or 10 points above and below.
When volatility was high and expected to fall, the starting book used only one at-the-money calendar and added strikes only after the underlying moved.
Spacing between the short month and the long month ranged from four to 12 months. Shorter tenors were used when volatility was high and possibly declining. Longer tenors were used when volatility was low and possibly stable or rising.
Midprice entry and a mixed working book
The preferred fill was the spread midprice, with a stated willingness to pay up to 0.20 above that midpoint.
Call-only butterflies that bracketed the calendar were used to cut vega risk in half. The working book was split into five 20 percent sleeves: IBM calendars, SP calendars, RUT call butterflies, SPX call butterflies, and cash.
A precommitted roll and loss grid
An adjustment was planned for when the underlying reached a precomputed zone between expiration breakeven and the short strike, typically by removing 50 percent to 100 percent of the position and rolling to a new bracket around the then-current price.
A position that lost 20 percent was closed promptly rather than held through a larger decline.
Opening delta from a short moving average
After the 2008 episode, if the primary underlying was above its 20-day moving average the starting calendar was given a slightly long delta. If it was below that average, the starting delta was slightly short.
Editorial reading: that moving average is a starting lean only. The monthly calendar presence does not wait on the average.
All readings on this track · 18 readings
- 1982Constructing commodity spreads, calendar legs, and option straps
- 1987Seasonal calendar spreads as financed capital slots
- 1989Seasonal dates, confirmation, and reconstructed spread bars
- 1991Calendar-spread divergence as a demand clock for commodity reversals
- 1992Expiration-forced convergence for basis, calendar, and option-income trades
- 1993Write the soybean intercrop calendar as one procedure
- 1996A commodity-basket redesign read as a proxy and a calendar-spread
- 2003Calendar spread construction by volatility skew
- 2003Livestock calendar spreads during a commodity-index roll
- 2004Same-strike calendar construction, decay income, and account gates
- 2004Range-bound calendar spreads and precommitted exits
- 2007Construct futures size from the good-faith deposit and the spread
- 2007Critiquing calendar spreads when reversals overrun
- 2010Name the spread, then construct the legs
- 2012Monthly calendar income under a volatility-regime process
- 2016A VIX calendar-spread case after the 2015 volatility spike
- 2017Yield curve kinks as spread laboratories
- 2018Bitcoin futures contract choice, percentage margin and calendar spreads