2003issue C051-2
Calendar spread construction by volatility skew
A calendar spread buys a longer-dated option and sells a shorter-dated option at the same strike for a net debit. When several calendars share that debit, the short-dated implied-volatility premium versus the long-dated contract is treated as more important than the underlying price, and selection prefers the payoff curve with the greatest reward-to-risk ratio and the widest remaining profitable range.
- A calendar spread buys a longer-dated option and sells a shorter-dated option at the same strike, typically near the money, and is entered for a net debit.
- When several calendars share that debit, the implied-volatility level of the short-dated contract relative to the long-dated contract is treated as more important than the underlying price.
- That relative premium gap is a volatility skew: short-dated options carry higher implied-volatility premiums than the matching long-dated options.
- Among same-debit calendars with no upcoming earnings or volatility event, selection prefers the payoff curve with the greatest reward-to-risk ratio and the widest remaining profitable range.
What the calendar spread is buying
A conventional calendar spread buys a longer-dated option and sells a shorter-dated option at the same strike, typically near the money. The structure is entered for a net debit.
The intended payoff depends on the short-dated option losing more value into expiration than the long-dated option loses to time decay. That can occur if the underlying trades sideways.
Why relative implied volatility ranks first
When several calendars share the same debit, the implied-volatility level of the short-dated contract relative to the long-dated contract is treated as more important than the underlying price.
That relative premium gap is described as a volatility skew. Short-dated options carry higher implied-volatility premiums than the matching long-dated options, which makes the short-dated contracts more expensive on a relative basis.
Higher implied volatility in the short-dated options is presented as raising the potential profit of the calendar.
How the skew appears and later widens
The skew is described as appearing after a sharp decline, when demand for short-dated puts rises for protection or a fast follow-through. Those contracts are then left relatively richer.
If short-dated implied volatility later falls, the short leg can be bought back more cheaply while still-low long-dated volatility leaves the long leg losing less. That change is described as the spread widening.
Choosing among same-debit calendars
Among calendars that share the same debit and have no upcoming earnings or volatility event, selection is framed as choosing the payoff curve with the greatest reward-to-risk ratio and the widest remaining profitable range.
All readings on this track · 18 readings
- 1982Constructing commodity spreads, calendar legs, and option straps
- 1987Seasonal calendar spreads as financed capital slots
- 1989Seasonal dates, confirmation, and reconstructed spread bars
- 1991Calendar-spread divergence as a demand clock for commodity reversals
- 1992Expiration-forced convergence for basis, calendar, and option-income trades
- 1993Write the soybean intercrop calendar as one procedure
- 1996A commodity-basket redesign read as a proxy and a calendar-spread
- 2003Calendar spread construction by volatility skew
- 2003Livestock calendar spreads during a commodity-index roll
- 2004Same-strike calendar construction, decay income, and account gates
- 2004Range-bound calendar spreads and precommitted exits
- 2007Construct futures size from the good-faith deposit and the spread
- 2007Critiquing calendar spreads when reversals overrun
- 2010Name the spread, then construct the legs
- 2012Monthly calendar income under a volatility-regime process
- 2016A VIX calendar-spread case after the 2015 volatility spike
- 2017Yield curve kinks as spread laboratories
- 2018Bitcoin futures contract choice, percentage margin and calendar spreads