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2003issue C051-2

Calendar spread construction by volatility skew

A calendar spread buys a longer-dated option and sells a shorter-dated option at the same strike for a net debit. When several calendars share that debit, the short-dated implied-volatility premium versus the long-dated contract is treated as more important than the underlying price, and selection prefers the payoff curve with the greatest reward-to-risk ratio and the widest remaining profitable range.

  • A calendar spread buys a longer-dated option and sells a shorter-dated option at the same strike, typically near the money, and is entered for a net debit.
  • When several calendars share that debit, the implied-volatility level of the short-dated contract relative to the long-dated contract is treated as more important than the underlying price.
  • That relative premium gap is a volatility skew: short-dated options carry higher implied-volatility premiums than the matching long-dated options.
  • Among same-debit calendars with no upcoming earnings or volatility event, selection prefers the payoff curve with the greatest reward-to-risk ratio and the widest remaining profitable range.
Entries in this reading3 entries

What the calendar spread is buying

A conventional calendar spread buys a longer-dated option and sells a shorter-dated option at the same strike, typically near the money. The structure is entered for a net debit.

The intended payoff depends on the short-dated option losing more value into expiration than the long-dated option loses to time decay. That can occur if the underlying trades sideways.

Why relative implied volatility ranks first

When several calendars share the same debit, the implied-volatility level of the short-dated contract relative to the long-dated contract is treated as more important than the underlying price.

That relative premium gap is described as a volatility skew. Short-dated options carry higher implied-volatility premiums than the matching long-dated options, which makes the short-dated contracts more expensive on a relative basis.

Higher implied volatility in the short-dated options is presented as raising the potential profit of the calendar.

How the skew appears and later widens

The skew is described as appearing after a sharp decline, when demand for short-dated puts rises for protection or a fast follow-through. Those contracts are then left relatively richer.

If short-dated implied volatility later falls, the short leg can be bought back more cheaply while still-low long-dated volatility leaves the long leg losing less. That change is described as the spread widening.

Choosing among same-debit calendars

Among calendars that share the same debit and have no upcoming earnings or volatility event, selection is framed as choosing the payoff curve with the greatest reward-to-risk ratio and the widest remaining profitable range.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
8 of 18 in the Calendar spread trading track
20031-3 pp.Next on Calendar spread tradingLivestock calendar spreads during a commodity-index rollA production-weighted commodity futures index rolled nearby holdings in one-fifth increments from the fifth through the ninth business day of the month before expiration, each time selling the nearby-contract and buying the deferred-contract.
All readings on this track · 18 readings
  1. 1982Constructing commodity spreads, calendar legs, and option straps
  2. 1987Seasonal calendar spreads as financed capital slots
  3. 1989Seasonal dates, confirmation, and reconstructed spread bars
  4. 1991Calendar-spread divergence as a demand clock for commodity reversals
  5. 1992Expiration-forced convergence for basis, calendar, and option-income trades
  6. 1993Write the soybean intercrop calendar as one procedure
  7. 1996A commodity-basket redesign read as a proxy and a calendar-spread
  8. 2003Calendar spread construction by volatility skew
  9. 2003Livestock calendar spreads during a commodity-index roll
  10. 2004Same-strike calendar construction, decay income, and account gates
  11. 2004Range-bound calendar spreads and precommitted exits
  12. 2007Construct futures size from the good-faith deposit and the spread
  13. 2007Critiquing calendar spreads when reversals overrun
  14. 2010Name the spread, then construct the legs
  15. 2012Monthly calendar income under a volatility-regime process
  16. 2016A VIX calendar-spread case after the 2015 volatility spike
  17. 2017Yield curve kinks as spread laboratories
  18. 2018Bitcoin futures contract choice, percentage margin and calendar spreads
All 19 readings tagged Calendar spread trading
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