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MSTRUSDT · recomputed every 15 minutes

Strategy (MSTR) technical analysis

Where every indicator in the terminal stands on MSTRUSDT, the Binance perpetual contract on Strategy, right now, on the hourly, four-hour and daily bar. Free to read, no account needed.

MSTRUSDT tracks the price of Strategy (MicroStrategy), but it is a Binance perpetual contract, not the exchange-listed security. It trades 24/7, and outside US exchange hours it moves on thin volume. US exchange right now: pre-market.

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Bearish

14% of the directional vote points up

15 of 94 directional indicators read up, 79 read down. A weak reading counts as half a vote, so the share above is not the plain count.

13 indicators give no reading on this bar. 16 measure range or volume only and never vote on direction.

Computed at 13:25 UTC on the closed bar that opened at 12:00 UTC

Base rule set: the server runs the indicator barometer and the stock rules, without the premium methodologies the terminal loads for a signed-in trader.

How the verdict moved

The share of the directional vote on every closed bar the scheduled run has stored. The dashed guides mark the bands: above the upper one the verdict reads bullish, below the lower one bearish.

Bearish·held since Nov 11, 21:00

97%49%0%
Nov 5, 14:00Nov 7, 21:20Nov 10, 04:40Nov 12, 12:00

Bullish on 28% of the bars, bearish on 60%, mixed on 11%. The verdict changed 35 times over the period.

Collected since Nov 5, 14:00, 167 bars on the 1 hour horizon. A gap in the strip is a stretch the scheduled run missed, not a market without a verdict.

What the rule engine found

Long setup·confidence 50·trend down

Entry
$115.58
Stop
$113.34
First target
$118.57
Risk to reward
1.33

Rules that fired

  • 4-indicator bullish divergence confluence1
  • RSI bullish divergence1
  • Bullish MFI divergence (volume-weighted)1
  • Bullish CCI divergence1
  • MACD histogram bullish divergence1

Indicator by indicator

Every indicator in the terminal's registry, read on the same closed bar and sorted into the groups the terminal uses. Point at a tile for the full name and its state.

Trend

4 up · 39 down · 3 quiet

  • AlligatorAlligator (Bill Williams): clear down
  • ALMAArnaud Legoux Moving Average: clear down
  • AroonAroon: clear down
  • ADXAverage Directional Index: clear down
  • CamPPCamarilla Pivots: clear down
  • CKSChande Kroll Stop: clear down
  • DM SCDM Setup Countdown: leaning up
  • DEMADouble EMA: clear down
  • EMAExponential Moving Average: clear down
  • FibPPFibonacci Pivots: clear down
  • FractalsFractals (Bill Williams): neutral or no reading
  • HalfTrendHalfTrend: clear down
  • HMAHull Moving Average: clear down
  • IchimokuIchimoku Cloud: clear down
  • InertiaInertia: clear down
  • KAMAKaufman Adaptive Moving Average: clear down
  • LinRegLinear Regression: leaning up
  • LRCLinReg Channel: leaning up
  • LRSLinReg Slope: clear down
  • LC SignalsLorentzian Signals: neutral or no reading
  • MGDMcGinley Dynamic: clear down
  • MPMedian Price: clear down
  • MAMAMESA Adaptive Moving Average: clear down
  • EnvelopeMoving Average Envelope: clear down
  • NWENadaraya-Watson Envelope: leaning down
  • OHLC4OHLC4 Average Price: clear down
  • PSARParabolic SAR: clear down
  • PPPivot Points: leaning down
  • PivotHLPivot Points High Low: neutral or no reading
  • PFEPolarized Fractal Efficiency: clear down
  • RainbowRainbow Moving Average: leaning up
  • RWIRandom Walk Index: clear down
  • Range FilterRange Filter: clear down
  • SMASimple Moving Average: clear down
  • SMMASmoothed Moving Average: clear down
  • STSupertrend: clear down
  • T3Tillson T3: clear down
  • TEMATriple EMA: clear down
  • TPTypical Price: clear down
  • VIDYAVIDYA: clear down
  • VWMAVolume Weighted MA: clear down
  • VIVortex Indicator: leaning down
  • WMAWeighted Moving Average: clear down
  • WoodPPWoodie Pivots: leaning down
  • ZLEMAZero-Lag EMA: clear down
  • ZigZagZig Zag: clear down

Momentum

1 up · 9 down · 2 quiet

  • ASIAccumulative Swing Index: clear down
  • ADXRAverage Directional Movement Rating: expanding
  • CFOChande Forecast Oscillator: leaning up
  • CCCoppock Curve: clear down
  • ERElder Ray: clear down
  • KSTKnow Sure Thing: clear down
  • MACDMACD: clear down
  • MRSMansfield Relative Strength: neutral or no reading
  • MomMomentum: clear down
  • PPOPercentage Price Osc: clear down
  • PMOPrice Momentum Oscillator: clear down
  • ROCRate of Change: clear down

Oscillators

8 up · 15 down · 7 quiet

  • ACAccelerator Oscillator: leaning down
  • AOAwesome Oscillator: clear down
  • BOPBalance of Power: leaning down
  • CMOChande Momentum Osc: neutral or no reading
  • CCICommodity Channel Index: clear up
  • CRSIConnorsRSI: neutral or no reading
  • DPODetrended Price Osc: clear down
  • DMDM Marker: clear up
  • FFTFFT Dominant Cycle: neutral or no reading
  • FishRSIFisher RSI: leaning up
  • FisherFisher Transform: clear down
  • GatorGator Oscillator (Bill Williams): neutral or no reading
  • IMIIntraday Momentum Index: clear up
  • LCLorentzian Classification: clear down
  • MESAMESA Sine Wave: clear up
  • QQEQQE MOD: clear down
  • QStickQStick: clear down
  • RSIRelative Strength Index: clear up
  • RVIRelative Vigor Index: clear down
  • STCSchaff Trend Cycle: neutral or no reading
  • SQZMOMSqueeze Momentum: clear down
  • StochStochastic: clear up
  • SMIStochastic Momentum Index: clear down
  • StochRSIStochastic RSI: neutral or no reading
  • TRIXTRIX: clear down
  • TSITrue Strength Index: clear down
  • UOUltimate Oscillator: neutral or no reading
  • ValueValue Chart: clear down
  • WTWaveTrend Oscillator: clear down
  • %RWilliams %R: clear up

Volatility

0 up · 4 down · 10 quiet

  • ATR%ATR Percent: expanding
  • ATRAverage True Range: expanding
  • %BBollinger %B: clear down
  • BBWBollinger Band Width: expanding
  • BBBollinger Bands: leaning down
  • CVChaikin Volatility: expanding
  • CHOPChoppiness Index: contracting
  • DCDonchian Channel: leaning down
  • HVHistorical Volatility: expanding
  • KCKeltner Channel: clear down
  • MIMass Index: expanding
  • NATRNormalized Average True Range: expanding
  • StdDevStandard Deviation: expanding
  • UIUlcer Index: expanding

Volume

2 up · 12 down · 7 quiet

  • A/DAccumulation/Distribution: clear down
  • AVWAPAnchored VWAP: neutral or no reading
  • CMFChaikin Money Flow: leaning down
  • COChaikin Oscillator: leaning down
  • EMVEase of Movement: leaning down
  • FIForce Index: clear down
  • HPIHerrick Payoff Index: clear up
  • BW MFIMarket Facilitation Index: contracting
  • MFIMoney Flow Index: neutral or no reading
  • NVINegative Volume Index: leaning up
  • OBVOn-Balance Volume: clear down
  • PVIPositive Volume Index: clear down
  • PVTPrice Volume Trend: clear down
  • RVOLRelative Volume: expanding
  • sVWAPSession VWAP: clear down
  • VOLVolume: expanding
  • VOVolume Oscillator: expanding
  • VROCVolume ROC: expanding
  • VWAPVWAP: clear down
  • VWAP±σVWAP Bands: leaning down
  • WADWilliams Accumulation/Distribution: clear down

Key levels

Pivot levels for the current period, computed four ways. A price that two methods agree on is listed once and names both.

LevelPriceFrom priceMethod
R2$155.66+34.7%classic
R2$154.07+33.3%Woodie
R2$146.25+26.5%Fibonacci
R1$140.44+21.5%Fibonacci
R1$140.17+21.3%classic
R4$138.24+19.6%Camarilla
R1$137.00+18.5%Woodie
R3$131.46+13.7%Camarilla
PP$131.03+13.4%Fibonacci, classic, Camarilla
PP$129.44+12.0%Woodie
S1$121.62+5.2%Fibonacci
S3$117.92+2.0%Camarilla
S2$115.81+0.2%Fibonacci
Last close$115.58——
S1$115.540.0%classic
S1$112.37-2.8%Woodie
S4$111.14-3.8%Camarilla
S2$106.40-7.9%classic
S2$104.81-9.3%Woodie

Structure around price

Live zones from the Smart Money detectors, nearest to price first. Swept liquidity and filled gaps are left out.

Structure reads bearish·price sits in the discount half of the last leg

  • Fair value gap$116.13 – $116.56+0.7%
  • Fair value gap$117.91 – $118.90+2.4%
  • Fair value gap$119.01 – $119.41+3.1%
  • Order block$119.75 – $119.95+3.7%
  • Order block$122.51 – $125.50+7.3%
  • Liquidity$126.53+9.5%

How to read the verdict

The verdict is a vote, not a forecast. The server runs every indicator in the terminal's registry on the last closed bar and asks each one a single question: does your reading point up or down right now. A clear reading counts as a full vote, a weak one as half, and indicators that only measure range or volume stay out of the count entirely, because expanding volatility says nothing about direction.

The share you see is that vote, scaled to the indicators that had a reading at all. Above 58 percent it is called bullish, below 42 bearish, and everything between is mixed. The thresholds are wide on purpose: a market where six indicators out of ten lean one way is not a market with a direction.

The rule engine underneath answers a different question. It does not count indicators, it checks named conditions, and it stays silent unless one of them clears its threshold. The two can disagree, and when they do, the disagreement is the useful part of the page.

Levels and structure

Pivot levels come from the previous period's high, low and close, computed four ways. They are arithmetic, not opinion: the same input gives the same numbers to everyone looking at this instrument. Where two methods land on the same price, the table lists that level once and names both, because agreement between methods is itself an argument for the level.

The structure block is different. Those zones come from detectors that look for where price left an imbalance or took out a pool of orders, and a zone stays on the list only while it is still unspent. A swept level or a filled gap drops off, which is why the list is short by design.

What moves the Strategy read

Strategy, known until 2025 as MicroStrategy, holds bitcoin on its balance sheet in an amount that dwarfs its software business, and it keeps buying more with money raised from new shares and debt. Its stock trades as a leveraged position on bitcoin: when BTC moves, MSTR moves further in the same direction.

That makes the verdict on BTC the context for every reading here. The gap between the company's market value and the value of its bitcoin also changes over time, so MSTRUSDT can lag or lead bitcoin for days, and a daily vote that disagrees with BTC usually reflects that gap moving rather than a different view of bitcoin itself.

Why does the terminal show a different number?

This page runs the base rule set. The terminal loads five premium methodologies on top of it for a signed-in trader, and those rules add their own votes to the count. On the same instrument and the same bar the direction usually agrees, the exact percentage often does not.

How fresh is this?

A scheduled run recomputes every instrument every fifteen minutes and stores the result, so the page reads a stored row and answers in milliseconds. The time of that run is printed next to the verdict. Bar lengths start at one hour: on a shorter bar a fifteen-minute cycle would show the previous bar as if it were the current one.

Is this a recommendation?

No. It is a reading of public price data by a fixed set of formulas, published the same way for everyone, with no view of your account, your horizon or your risk. Entry, stop and target under the rule engine are that engine's arithmetic, not a suggestion to place an order.

TradersWeek publishes this analysis for information only. It is not investment advice, not a personal recommendation and not an offer to trade. Markets carry a risk of loss, and a past reading of an indicator says nothing about a future price.

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