MacroAug 13, 2026, 4:02 PM

AOC Now Projected to Win 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Prediction markets now favor Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for the 2028 Democratic nomination, while Gavin Newsom's odds have fallen to a new low of 17% from 40%.

Market pricing for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination has shifted sharply. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now projected to win the nomination.

Expectations for Gavin Newsom have declined to 17%, down from 40%, marking a new low. The move was highlighted by the Kobeissi Letter.

Source: The Kobeissi Letter

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