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macroJun 10, 2026, 4:03 PM

US May CPI: Headline 4.2% Hot, Core 0.2% Misses Consensus

US headline CPI rose to 4.2% year-over-year in May, the highest since April 2023, while core CPI rose just 0.2% month-over-month, below the 0.3% consensus.

The May Consumer Price Index showed headline inflation accelerating to 4.2% year-over-year, up from 3.8% in April and marking the hottest reading since April 2023. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose only 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus estimate and halving the prior month's pace.

The divergence between surging headline inflation and cooling core prices suggests the Federal Reserve's next rate hike may be aimed at the wrong problem. While energy and food costs drive the headline figure, underlying price pressures appear to be easing.

Market participants will now weigh whether the Fed prioritizes the stubborn headline number or the softer core reading when setting policy. The data could complicate the central bank's path forward.

Source: FXStreet Forex News