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macroJun 22, 2026, 6:52 PM

Oil Slides as Supply Glut Fears Replace Middle East War Premium

Crude oil prices are retreating to pre-war range as markets shift focus from Middle East disruption risks to oversupply concerns, driven by improving US-Iran talks and rising Hormuz traffic.

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Crude oil is returning to its pre-conflict price range as supply glut fears overtake the war premium that had pushed prices higher. Market sentiment has pivoted away from Middle East disruption risks toward concerns about excess supply.

Key drivers include progress in US-Iran negotiations and a notable increase in maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, both of which are weighing on prices. The easing of geopolitical tensions is allowing supply-side fundamentals to regain the spotlight.

Source: First Squawk