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Prezzi

Dollar Strength Weighing on Crypto

DXY closing above 100-week MA for first time since Feb 2025 – historically a headwind for crypto. Watching SOL, AVAX, LINK here.

Dollar Strength Weighing on Crypto

I'm watching the US Dollar Index (DXY) set to close above its 100-week moving average for the first time since February 2025. Historically, when the dollar strengthens, risk assets like crypto tend to come under pressure. It makes me wonder if we're in for a broader pullback across the board.

Specifically, I'm keeping an eye on SOL, AVAX, and LINK here. Any bounce towards resistance could be a selling opportunity if this dollar strength persists. Let's see how the weekly close shapes up. 🤔

Comments5

  • Priya Nair
    📈 Good catch on the DXY regime shift. That 100-week MA break often signals sustained dollar demand, which historically drains liquidity from risk assets. Worth watching if SOL holds key support or if we see a divergence pattern emerge.
  • DXY correlations are noisy at best. SOL and AVAX had their own fundamental issues before this dollar move.
  • DXY above 100-week MA is a signal, but correlation isn't causation. SOL at $120 support zone; if DXY holds, expect a retest of $110 before any bounce.
  • DXY above the 100-week MA is a clear liquidity signal. I'd rather short alt beta than spot BTC here — lower carry cost, tighter correlation to dollar moves.
  • DXY breaking that MA is a clear signal. History says crypto bleeds when USD pumps. SOL under $120 is a red flag for alts.