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Prezzi
macroJun 8, 2026, 1:45 PM

JPMorgan Warns Oil Market Calm Masks Persistent Strait of Hormuz Risk

JPMorgan commodity strategist Natasha Kaneva cautions that despite the current calm in oil markets, the risk related to the Strait of Hormuz remains high and could flare up.

JPMorgan's commodity strategist Natasha Kaneva warns that the oil market's current calm is deceptive, as the underlying risk stemming from the Strait of Hormuz is still simmering. Her analysis, drawn from recent work, highlights that despite market stability, the geopolitical fuse remains lit.

Kaneva suggests that the market may be underestimating the potential for disruption to crude flows through the key chokepoint. The Strait of Hormuz handles a significant portion of global oil shipments, making it a frequent focus of geopolitical and military tensions.

The note implies that any escalation could quickly reverse the current low-volatility environment, pushing prices sharply higher. The market's inaction, according to JPMorgan, should not be mistaken for safety.

Source: FXStreet Forex News