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fxJun 24, 2026, 9:47 AM

Euro Faces Downside Risk as Yield Gap Widens vs Dollar – MUFG

MUFG's Lee Hardman notes EUR/USD has broken below its long-held 1.1400–1.1800 range due to diverging ECB and Fed policy expectations, with softer Euro-zone data and easing energy prices reducing pressure on the ECB to hike further.

EURUSD

According to MUFG analyst Lee Hardman, EUR/USD has broken below its long-held 1.1400–1.1800 trading range. The divergence in monetary policy expectations between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve is exerting downward pressure on the euro.

Softer economic data from the euro zone, combined with easing energy prices, are reducing the urgency for the ECB to continue hiking interest rates. Meanwhile, market pricing suggests the Fed is expected to deliver multiple rate increases, widening the yield gap in favor of the dollar.

Source: FXStreet Forex News