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macroJun 21, 2026, 4:11 AM

Economists Unanimous on AI Productivity Gains but Split on Job Impact

A survey of 16 prominent economists reveals a consensus that artificial intelligence will significantly boost productivity, yet deep divisions remain over its effects on employment and wages.

A survey of 16 leading economists has found near-unanimous agreement that artificial intelligence (AI) will drive substantial productivity gains across economies. The respondents were in broad accord on the technology's potential to accelerate output per worker.

However, the survey revealed sharp disagreements on the labor-market implications. While some economists see AI creating new roles and boosting wages, others warn of widespread job displacement and downward pressure on pay for certain occupations. The debate centers on which sectors and skill levels will be most affected.

The findings underscore the uncertainty surrounding AI's net impact on the future of work, even among top economic thinkers. The study was cited by the channel @FirstSquaw.

Source: First Squawk