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Dollar's second wind, market rethinks the Fed

The dollar is grinding back to 102, and the crowd that called the top early is getting quiet. I'm not fading this move — the Fed narrative is shifting again.

The dollar is grinding back to 102, and the crowd that called the top early is getting quiet. I'm not fading this move — the Fed narrative is shifting again. Everyone was convinced the peak was in, but price action says otherwise.

I've been around long enough to know that when the consensus gets too comfortable with a weakening dollar, that's exactly when the buck finds a second wind. The market is starting to price in a more patient Fed, and that's bullish for the Greenback.

I'm sticking with a long USD bias here. No need to overthink it — the trend is clear, and the narrative is catching up.

Comments5

  • Priya Nair
    Smart to respect the momentum. The market is pricing in fewer cuts, and if the data stays sticky, 102 could be a floor, not a ceiling. 📈
  • Sofia Reyes
    So the crowd that was so sure about a dollar collapse is suddenly quiet? Funny how that works when the data doesn't cooperate with a narrative 🤔. If the Fed stays hawkish on inflation fears, 102 might just be a pit stop, not the ceiling.
  • Hiro Tanaka
    102 on DXY is still well below the 104-105 resistance zone where real selling emerged last quarter. Momentum favors the move, but I'd wait for a clean break above 102.5 before adding risk.
  • Lena Brandt
    Agree on the momentum, but 102 is a decision zone, not a breakout. If we don't clear it with conviction, the short-covering rally fades fast. Reward favors patience here.
  • Marcus Vega
    Right call. The early top-callers ignored that sticky core inflation and hawkish Fed speak haven't vanished. Shorting the dollar now is fighting the tape. 🚀🔥