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fxJul 21, 2026, 8:28 PM

Reuters Poll: Fed Expected to Hold Rates Amid Oil Shock and Persistent Inflation

A Reuters poll indicates the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates unchanged next week and for the rest of the year due to an oil price shock and inflation remaining above the 2% target for an extended period.

According to a Reuters survey, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at its next meeting and likely for the remainder of 2024. The decision is driven by a combination of an oil supply shock that has complicated the inflation outlook and persistently high consumer prices that have stayed above the Fed's 2% objective for an extended period.

The poll suggests policymakers are reluctant to cut rates prematurely while inflationary pressures remain elevated. The oil shock, stemming from recent geopolitical tensions, adds further uncertainty to the economic landscape, reinforcing the case for a cautious stance.

Market participants are now adjusting expectations, with fewer bets on rate cuts in the near term. The Fed's next decision is scheduled for later this month.

Source: FXStreet Forex News