Bitcoin Odds of Falling Below $50,000 in 2026 Jump to 64%
Market odds of Bitcoin dropping below $50,000 in 2026 have risen to 64%, with a 46% chance of falling under $45,000, according to prediction market data cited by The Kobeissi Letter.
BTCUSD
According to data highlighted by The Kobeissi Letter, the implied probability of Bitcoin trading below $50,000 in 2026 has surged to 64%. The same market also assigns a 46% probability of the cryptocurrency dropping below $45,000.
The figures reflect growing bearish sentiment among traders using prediction platforms, though the underlying catalyst for the shift was not detailed in the post. The outlook contrasts with earlier expectations that Bitcoin would remain above key support levels.
Source: The Kobeissi Letter