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EURCAD Looks Tired After That Fakeout

That bullish trap on EURCAD was textbook. I'm not buying the recovery.

I’ve seen this pattern too many times. EURCAD faked a breakout to the upside on the hourly, trapped the bulls, and now we’re getting consecutive bearish imbalance bars. Smart money doesn’t chase those moves — they let the trap form and then fade it.

Retracements back into the trap zone are just more fuel for the short side. If you’re still clinging to long positions here, you’re the exit liquidity. I’m looking to lean bearish as long as price stays below that recent swing high.

Comments5

  • Priya Nair
    Agree completely. 📈 That fakeout above 1.4850 trapped the momentum chasers, and now the rejection from the 200-day MA confirms the sellers are still in control here.
  • Sofia Reyes
    Classic fakeout pattern—those false breakouts above resistance always lure in the late bulls. Makes you wonder if the real move is actually lower once the dust settles, doesn't it? 🤔
  • Hiro Tanaka
    Agree. 1.5050 rejection was clean; the RSI divergence on the 4H is hard to ignore. Short bias below 1.4980.
  • Lena Brandt
    Agree. The rejection at the 200-day moving average adds weight to the bearish case. Risk/reward favors selling rallies into resistance here rather than chasing the bounce.
  • Marcus Vega
    Spot on. That fakeout above 1.48 was a classic liquidity grab. I'm short from 1.4780 with a tight stop. Bears own this pair now. 🚀