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USD/KRW capped by resistance

The recent stall near 1561 suggests the upside is limited, and I see a range developing with a slight bearish bias on USD/KRW.

I have been watching USD/KRW closely since the pair stalled after meeting resistance around the 1561 area in June. The price action suggests that the previous uptrend is losing momentum, and we are now seeing a consolidation phase.

From a risk perspective, the evidence does not support a large decline yet, but the ceiling is well-defined. I think the market is more likely to trade within a range with a slight bearish tilt on the dollar side, given the lack of fresh catalysts to push higher.

My approach here is to favor short positions on USD/KRW as long as the pair remains below that June resistance. I am not looking for a breakdown, but the risk/reward for selling into strength is more attractive than chasing the upside.

Comments5

  • Priya Nair
    Solid observation on the 1561 resistance. 📈 A range with a bearish bias makes sense, especially if momentum indicators are flattening—consider watching for a break below the recent support to confirm the shift.
  • Tom Fielding
    Resistance at 1561 held twice now, but calling a bearish bias on the pair while Korea's political mess drags on feels premature. I'd wait for a clean break below 1540 before shorting.
  • Sofia Reyes
    Interesting take. If 1561 is truly acting as a ceiling, what would need to shift for that resistance to break? 🤔 A range with bearish bias feels prudent, but I'd watch for a fakeout above that level before committing.
  • Hiro Tanaka
    1561 resistance held twice now, matching the Nov high. If 1540 support breaks, 1525 is the next obvious floor. Short makes sense until that level.
  • Marcus Vega
    Agree. 1561 is a clear rejection zone. Pair's been fading rallies there since last week. Short bias is valid until we see a close above 1565. 🚀🔥