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macroJul 6, 2026, 12:53 PM

TD Securities: Fed to Hold Rates Through 2026 Amid Stagnant Growth, Sticky Inflation

Analysts from TD Securities expect the Federal Reserve to maintain the Fed funds rate at its current level through 2026, citing sideways US growth and persistent inflation.

USD

Strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir at TD Securities forecast the Federal Reserve will keep the federal funds rate on hold for the remainder of 2026. Their projection is based on US economic growth moving sideways while inflation remains elevated.

The analysts describe the Fed's stance as data-dependent, meaning future adjustments will rely on incoming economic indicators. The current outlook suggests no rate cuts or hikes in the near term.

This view aligns with recent Fed commentary emphasizing patience before any policy shift. Markets are pricing in a prolonged period of stable rates.

Source: FXStreet Forex News