Market news
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Silver Holds Above $55.00, Recovers to $57.00
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $57.00 on Monday, up nearly 1.70%, after briefly dipping below $55.00 on Friday to its lowest since December 2025.
AUD/USD Faces Resistance Near 0.7000, Uptrend Intact Above 200-Day SMA
The Australian Dollar's recovery against the US Dollar has stalled just above the 0.7000 level, with the pair struggling to break convincingly higher. However, the constructive outlook remains unchanged as long as it holds above its critical 200-day simple moving average.
Pound Reverses Gains After Burnham Fiscal Pledge Fails to Inspire
The British pound turned negative against the dollar after incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham vowed to maintain existing fiscal rules, failing to boost sentiment. GBP/USD slipped to 1.3425 after hitting a daily high earlier.
Gold Stuck Above $4,000 as Iran-US Tensions Lift Dollar and Oil
Gold prices remain just above the $4,000 mark as escalating hostilities between Iran and the US for the ninth consecutive day bolster the US Dollar and trigger a bullish gap in oil markets.
EUR/USD Edges Lower as US Dollar Recovers from Intraday Lows
EUR/USD reversed earlier gains on Monday, falling to around 1.1408 as the US dollar recovered from intraday lows amid shifting risk sentiment.
Yen Slips as Middle East Tensions Boost Dollar
USD/JPY trades near 162.55, up 0.10% on the day, as renewed geopolitical concerns in the Middle East support the US Dollar.
Canadian Dollar Outlook: Mixed Scenarios With 4 Bearish and 1 Bullish Path
Analysts outline four bearish and one bullish scenario for the Canadian Dollar after a volatile first half of 2025, driven by oil price swings linked to Middle East tensions.
Pound Retreats After Strong US Data Overshadows UK Fiscal Optimism
GBP/USD gave back earlier gains as robust US economic data redirected focus to the dollar, dampening the initial positive effect of UK fiscal discipline signals.
TD Securities: Rate Divergence Weighs on Canadian Dollar Against USD
TD Securities strategists note that softer Canadian CPI data is lifting USD/CAD as rate divergence remains a key driver, with broad USD strength expected to limit downside below 1.40. Higher oil prices are seen as supportive for CAD on crosses but not against the greenback.
BNY: LatAm Currencies Supported by Carry, Strong Balances
BNY's Geoff Yu says Latin American currencies are underpinned by strong balance-of-payments positions and attractive carry, even amid global equity jitters.
Gold Swings Around $4,000 on Conflicting Middle East Headlines
Gold (XAU/USD) traded in a volatile range on Monday, hovering near $4,000 after conflicting Middle East headlines drove intraday swings.
HSBC Sees AUD/USD Upside into 2027 on Carry and Growth Support
HSBC strategists argue the Australian dollar has room to rise into 2027, supported by Australia's relatively high cash and government bond yields, which make AUD attractive on a carry basis within G10.
ECB Pause Seen Limiting Euro Downside Against USD – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman analyst Elias Haddad expects the ECB to keep rates at 2.25% this week, following June's 25 bps hike, and maintain a data-dependent stance, which should limit euro downside against the US dollar.
New Zealand Dollar Gains as Softer Fed Outlook Offsets Middle East Tensions
NZD/USD rose to around 0.5850, up 0.14%, as the US Dollar weakened following softer US inflation data, outweighing geopolitical concerns from the Middle East.
GBP/USD Shifts Into Broader Range After Breaking Support – UOB
UOB reports GBP/USD has moved into a broader trading range of 1.3385–1.3495 after breaking below the 1.3450 support, with near-term intraday levels seen between 1.3420 and 1.3475.
USD/CAD Rises as Canadian Inflation Misses, Dollar Strengthens
USD/CAD edged higher on Monday after Canadian inflation data came in softer than expected, while a firmer US dollar and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East added pressure on the loonie. The pair was trading near 1.4045, up 0.17%.
USD/JPY Recovers After Initial Decline Amid Yield Uncertainty
The US dollar fell against the Japanese yen before recovering, as US yields decline but remain above Japanese yields, keeping the pair uncertain.
HSBC: RBNZ Tightening Cycle Supports NZD/USD
HSBC strategists expect the New Zealand Dollar to remain supported by the RBNZ's aggressive hiking path and improving growth data, with quarterly 25bp rate hikes projected to 3.50% by Q3.
DBS Sees Euro Supported by Policy Divergence Against USD
DBS Group Research's Philip Wee expects the euro to find support in the coming weeks as markets reassess geopolitical risks and central bank policy divergence.
GBP Steady as Burnham Premiership Seen as Market-Friendly
ING analyst James Smith notes that British markets have remained calm after Andy Burnham became prime minister, with risk premia contained as investors expect no major policy shocks.
Canada June CPI Rises 2.8% YoY, Below Expectations
Canada's headline CPI grew 2.8% year-over-year in June, lower than the 3.2% in May and below market consensus. Monthly prices declined.
EUR/USD Edges Lower as Bearish Flag Pattern Emerges
The euro slipped to near 1.1432 against the dollar during European trading, with a bearish flag formation signaling further potential declines.
Sticky New Zealand Inflation Supports More RBNZ Hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman expects New Zealand's Q2 CPI to remain well above the RBNZ's target, with readings only slightly below the central bank's own forecasts, supporting further rate hikes.
Australian Dollar Rises Above 0.7000 as Risk Aversion Eases
The Australian Dollar strengthened past the 0.7000 mark against the US Dollar on Monday amid reduced risk aversion, supported by comments from Iran's foreign minister that raised hopes of de-escalation and pushed oil prices lower.