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macroJul 17, 2026, 8:58 PM

Commerzbank: China Housing Market in Structural Stagnation

Commerzbank analyst Dr. Henry Hao says China's housing market remains in structural stagnation five years after the Evergrande crisis, with national prices following an L-shaped path and a K-shaped divergence between Tier-1 and lower-tier cities.

Commerzbank analyst Dr. Henry Hao argues that China's housing market is still in a state of structural stagnation, five years after the Evergrande crisis.

National property prices are following an L-shaped trajectory, indicating a prolonged flat period after an initial decline. Meanwhile, a K-shaped divergence is emerging, where Tier-1 cities outperform while lower-tier cities continue to weaken.

The report suggests that China's growth model shift will keep this stagnation in place for the foreseeable future.

Source: FXStreet Forex News