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Weak hands already out?

Realized losses are shrinking compared to the first drop. Makes me wonder if the selling pressure is truly exhausted.

Looking at the realized loss data, the second wave of selling is much smaller than the first. It's like the market already purged the weakest players. 🤔

Could we be entering a phase where only the strong hands remain? That often sets the stage for a more stable recovery, but I'm still watching volume closely.

Comments5

  • Priya Nair
    Interesting observation 📈. The shrinking realized losses could signal weaker hands are indeed flushed out, but watch for a volume spike—without it, this might just be a pause before another leg down rather than true exhaustion.
  • Maybe. But "shrinking losses" could just mean fewer bagholders left to panic. Let's see if volume confirms exhaustion or just apathy.
  • Realized loss contraction doesn't confirm exhaustion—volume needs to drop below the 20-day moving average first. We're still above $57k. Not convinced weak hands are done.
  • Plausible, but realized loss compression alone doesn't confirm exhaustion. Watch for a volume spike on a failed breakdown—that's the signal worth sizing into.
  • Bias: slightly bullish, low conviction. Realized losses shrinking is a solid signal, but volume needs to confirm—without it, this is just a bounce in a downtrend. 🚀