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DXY Supported by Hawkish Fed Repricing and Risk-Off Flows: ING
ING economist Chris Turner notes that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is underpinned by the market repricing of a hawkish Federal Reserve and a risk-off tone in equities ahead of key US CPI and PPI releases.
BBH Flags Downside Risks for Pound as UK GDP Set to Contract
Brown Brothers Harriman analyst Elias Haddad highlights downside risks for the British Pound, citing expectations of a UK GDP contraction in Q2 and market pricing for further BoE rate hikes due to persistent second-round inflation.
Gold Steadies After Hitting Two-and-a-Half-Month Low, Fed Caps Gains
Gold (XAU/USD) recovers slightly on Monday after falling to its lowest since April, supported by Middle East tensions but limited by hawkish Federal Reserve expectations.
DBS: RBI and Government Coordinate to Attract Foreign Capital, Support Rupee
DBS Group Research notes that the Reserve Bank of India and the government have unveiled coordinated measures aimed at attracting foreign capital and bolstering support for India's external sector.
Euro Bounces from Three-Month Lows as Focus Turns to Middle East
EUR/USD rebounded to 1.1540 after hitting a three-month low of 1.1505, with traders eyeing geopolitical developments in the Middle East.
New Zealand Dollar Rises on Easing Geopolitical Risk, RBNZ Rate Hike Expectations
NZD/USD rebounded from a two-month low to trade around 0.5830, gaining 0.62% on the day, supported by easing geopolitical tensions and expectations of a rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Iran Ends Military Operations Against Israel, Warns of Harsher Attacks if Israel Resumes on Lebanon
Iran's armed forces have announced an end to military operations against Israel, but warned of harsher attacks if Israel resumes strikes on Lebanon. No confirmation from other media yet.
Societe Generale: US Dollar Rebound Challenges Bears
Societe Generale's Kit Juckes says recent US labor data broke prior FX ranges, challenging expectations for a weaker dollar under President Trump.
Canadian Dollar Underperforms at Start of BoC Policy Week
The Canadian Dollar weakened against major currencies on Monday as traders turned cautious ahead of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy announcement this week.
US Dollar Buoyed by Middle East Tensions, Safe-Haven Flows
The US dollar continues to strengthen as escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East drive safe-haven demand, alongside an improving US labor market.
Dollar Index Hits Nine-Week High on Fed Rate Hike Prospects
The US Dollar Index extended its rally, reaching a new nine-week high and breaching the psychological 100 level for the first time in months, supported by growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Key Central Bank Decisions and US Data Point to Risk-Off Mood
A series of major economic events this week, including US CPI, the Bank of Canada rate decision, and the ECB interest rate decision, have markets on edge with a potential risk-off tone.
USD/CHF Hits Two-Month Highs, Approaches 0.8000
The US dollar strengthened against the Swiss franc for a second straight day, reaching near 0.8000 – a level not seen in two months.
Gold Declines as Strong US Labor Market Data Reduces Fed Easing Hopes
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to fall as robust U.S. employment figures diminish expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, pushing Treasury yields and the dollar higher.
EUR/JPY Slides as BoJ Tightening Expectations Boost Yen
The euro fell against the Japanese yen on Monday, with EUR/JPY trading around 184.10, down 0.32%, as yen strength persists on the back of increased Bank of Japan tightening bets and renewed official warnings.
RBI Keeps Rate at 5.25%, Favors Inflow Tools Over Hikes – Commerzbank
Commerzbank's Charlie Lay notes the Reserve Bank of India held its policy rate at 5.25% and signaled a preference for using capital inflow measures to support the rupee rather than raising rates.
HSBC: US Dollar at Crossroads Amid Geopolitics, Trade Policy, and Fed Uncertainty
HSBC's FX Viewpoint notes the US Dollar is at a crossroads, influenced by Middle East tensions, US trade policy shifts, and the upcoming June FOMC meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin.
USD/JPY Rebound Supported by Yield Spread – SocGen
Analysts at Societe Generale note that USD/JPY has rebounded after defending a multi-month ascending trend line around 155.50-155.00 and is now challenging the April high, with support at 159.20.
RBI Holds Repo Rate, Giving Indian Rupee a Temporary Boost
The Indian Rupee gained after the Reserve Bank of India unanimously decided to keep the benchmark repo rate unchanged at its latest monetary policy meeting, but analysts warn the relief may be short-lived.
USD Net Long Futures Positioning More Than Quadrupled: Rabobank
Rabobank strategists note that USD net long futures positioning has more than quadrupled, indicating resilient support for the dollar.
EUR/USD starts week at April lows after US jobs data
EUR/USD opened the new week at 1.1520, near April lows, after the US dollar rallied on a stronger-than-expected May jobs report.
Silver price extends losses near $67.00 as Middle East tensions rise
Silver (XAG/USD) fell for a second straight session, trading around $67.00 per troy ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Warsh's First Fed Meeting Raises Independence Concerns
DBS analyst notes Kevin Warsh's debut as Fed Chair will test perceptions of central bank independence as he balances Trump's rate cut demands with a data-dependent stance.
ECB Expected to Deliver 25bp Hike on Thursday, Commerzbank Says
Commerzbank strategist Rainer Guntermann says a 25 basis point rate hike by the European Central Bank on Thursday is almost certain and fully priced, which would be the first increase since September 2023. He does not expect a follow-up move in July, viewing that as premature, but anticipates another hike later in the year, with cuts expected in 2024.