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fxJul 23, 2026, 8:47 AM

Sterling Rally Unlikely to Last on Weak Fundamentals

Analysts warn that the recent sterling rally is driven by temporary factors such as positioning and carry, not lasting UK fundamentals. With short-dated rates expected to decline and fiscal risks looming, GBP is seen giving back recent gains.

GBPUSD

The recent rally in sterling is not built to last, according to market commentary. Gains have been fueled by positioning, carry trades, and possibly merger-and-acquisition flows rather than a sustainable improvement in the UK's economic fundamentals.

Looking ahead, UK short-dated interest rates are likely to drift lower, while fiscal risks are set to return before the autumn. These headwinds suggest that the pound will likely hand back its recent gains in the coming months.

Source: FXStreet Forex News