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fxJul 15, 2026, 9:59 AM

MUFG: BoC Caution Caps CAD Losses, Weaker US CPI and Oil Support

MUFG notes that the Canadian Dollar is supported by softer US inflation and higher crude prices, though the Bank of Canada's cautious stance limits further gains against the greenback.

USDCAD

According to MUFG analyst Derek Halpenny, the Canadian Dollar has drawn support from the weaker-than-expected US Consumer Price Index data and elevated oil prices. These factors have helped the CAD recoup some losses against the US Dollar.

However, Halpenny points out that the Bank of Canada's cautious policy outlook is tempering the loonie's upside. Spread analysis suggests only modest additional gains for CAD/USD in the near term.

The report underscores a tug-of-war between supportive external factors (lower US yields, higher crude) and domestic monetary restraint from the BoC.

Source: FXStreet Forex News