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fxJun 5, 2026, 6:23 AM

Commerzbank: Turkish Lira Risks as May CPI Seen Sticky

Commerzbank analyst Ghose expects Turkey's May CPI to show only modest moderation from April's spike, keeping inflation momentum high and lira risks elevated.

USDTRY

Commerzbank analyst Ghose expects Turkey's May Consumer Price Index (CPI) to post only a modest month-on-month decline from April's sharp spike. The bank warns that inflation momentum remains uncomfortably high.

Key points from Commerzbank:

  • May CPI likely to show limited moderation, failing to ease price pressures significantly.
  • Persistent sticky inflation keeps the Turkish lira under downside risk.

The assessment reinforces a cautious outlook for the lira as markets await the official data.

Source: FXStreet Forex News